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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs San Francisco 49ers

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 8th-most pass-centric team in football near the end zone (58.4% context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The projections expect this game to see the 3rd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The 7th-most plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (a staggering 59.8 per game on average).

Baker Mayfield has been among the best TD passers in football this year, averaging a stellar 1.43 per game while checking in at the 80th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

Baker Mayfield's throwing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 71.1% to 65.7%.

When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, San Francisco's LB corps has been excellent this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

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