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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are heavy underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 63.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 7th-most pass-focused offense in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) right now with a 59.1% red zone pass rate.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projections to have 130.0 total plays run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.

In throwing a colossal 35.9 pass attempts per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the top QBs in the NFL (90th percentile) in this respect.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Kansas City's CB corps has been tremendous this year, ranking as the 9th-best in the NFL.

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