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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans

Baker Mayfield TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-157).

  • The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 59.6% red zone pass rate.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the Buccaneers ranks as the 9th-best in football this year.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL vs. the Titans defense this year (75.8% Adjusted Completion%).
  • As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Tennessee's safety corps has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the 4th-worst in football.

  • The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
  • The leading projections forecast Baker Mayfield to attempt 33.1 passes in this game, on balance: the 9th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • This year, the formidable Titans defense has allowed a meager 1.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing QBs: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league.

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