Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-102/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 16.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Buccaneers to run on 47.7% of their downs: the 2nd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
Baker Mayfield grades out as one of the leading QBs in football at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging an excellent 2.67 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 89th percentile.

Favors Under

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
Baker Mayfield's ground efficiency has diminished this season, notching a mere 4.12 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.87 figure last season.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Atlanta's collection of DTs has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the 4th-best in football.

More Baker Mayfield Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow