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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Baltimore Ravens

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Baker Mayfield's 22.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season reflects a meaningful gain in his rushing talent over last season's 10.0 figure.

Baker Mayfield's running efficiency has improved this year, averaging 7.26 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 4.16 rate last year.

With a fantastic record of 3.86 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Baker Mayfield places as one of the top running quarterbacks in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -4-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, implying more of a focus on passing than their typical approach.

The projections expect the Buccaneers as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 37.5% run rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are predicted by the projections to call just 63.1 offensive plays in this game: the 10th-fewest on the slate this week.

The Buccaneers have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a lowly 54.8 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have rushed for the fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 57.0 per game) versus the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

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