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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Baker Mayfield's 21.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year indicates a noteable improvement in his rushing skills over last year's 10.0 mark.

Baker Mayfield's 6.90 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season indicates a meaningful improvement in his running ability over last season's 4.16 figure.

With an excellent record of 3.93 yards-after-contact (97th percentile), Baker Mayfield places as one of the best rushing QBs in the league this year.

The New Orleans defensive tackles grade out as the 2nd-worst DT corps in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 37.9% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been called by the Buccaneers this year (a measly 53.2 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may fall-off.

Opposing teams have rushed for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in the league (just 103.0 per game) vs. the Saints defense this year.

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