Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 15, 2024

Updated Dec 15, 2024 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Baker Mayfield's 17.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season indicates a remarkable gain in his running talent over last season's 10.0 rate.
Baker Mayfield's 5.73 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season reflects a meaningful improvement in his running proficiency over last season's 4.16 figure.
With an outstanding rate of 2.68 yards-after-contact (95th percentile), Baker Mayfield has been among the leading running quarterbacks in the league this year.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers to run on 39.8% of their downs: the 11th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-fewest plays run out of all the games this week at 127.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may suffer.
The Los Angeles Chargers safeties grade out as the 8th-best group of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.

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