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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 4.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this week's contest, suggesting more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

Baker Mayfield's rushing effectiveness has gotten a boost this season, compiling 4.14 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.35 mark last season.

This year, the anemic Carolina Panthers run defense has been torched for a monstrous 135.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing offenses: the 4th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are anticipated by the projection model to run only 63.5 total plays in this game: the 8th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Buccaneers this year (just 56.3 per game on average).

As it relates to opening holes for runners (and the influence it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 5th-worst in football last year.

When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Carolina's unit has been very good this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the league.

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