Baker Mayfield Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

My Account Log Out

reorder

Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 215.5 (-104/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 199.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 215.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 44.0 pass attempts per game against the Falcons defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
This year, the porous Falcons defense has surrendered a massive 264.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing offenses: the 5th-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 52.3% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the predictive model to see just 126.1 total plays called: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
Our trusted projections expect Baker Mayfield to attempt 31.0 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.
With a lousy tally of 180.0 adjusted passing yards per game (21st percentile), Baker Mayfield has been among the weakest passers in the NFL this year.
The Atlanta Falcons pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, surrendering 7.24 adjusted yards-per-target: the 8th-fewest in the league.

More Baker Mayfield Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow