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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Atlanta Falcons vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 228.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 222.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 228.5 @ -110.
  • The leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Baker Mayfield to attempt 36.0 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 9th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • Baker Mayfield's 223.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season shows a remarkable gain in his throwing ability over last season's 63.0 mark.
  • When it comes to linebackers in covering receivers, Atlanta's group of LBs has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

  • The Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 56.2 plays per game.
  • With a subpar 62.3% Adjusted Completion% (18th percentile) this year, Baker Mayfield has been as one of the least accurate QBs in football.
  • Baker Mayfield is positioned as one of the least efficient QBs in the league this year, averaging a mere 6.55 adjusted yards-per-target while checking in at the lowly 18th percentile.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 6th-lowest rate in the league versus the Falcons defense this year (66.7% Adjusted Completion%).

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