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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 222.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 233.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 222.5 @ -137.
  • Baker Mayfield has passed for significantly more adjusted yards per game (231.0) this year than he did last year (63.0).
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have passed for the 2nd-fewest yards in the league (just 188.0 adjusted yards per game) vs. the Panthers defense this year.

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