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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Indianapolis Colts vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 236.5 (-110/-110).

  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 61.2% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Baker Mayfield is predicted by the projection model to average the 10th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.5.
  • Baker Mayfield's 233.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season marks a remarkable progression in his throwing ability over last season's 63.0 figure.

  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive scheme to tilt 4.3% more towards the rushing attack than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • Opposing teams have played at the 10th-slowest pace in football (adjusted for context) against the Buccaneers defense this year, averaging 28.03 seconds per play.
  • The Indianapolis Colts defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 4.72 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in football.
  • The Indianapolis Colts safeties rank as the 4th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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