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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts
Player Prop Week 8

Buffalo Bills vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a big 9.5-point underdog this week, indicating an extreme passing game script.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Buccaneers to pass on 61.4% of their opportunities: the 8th-highest clip among all teams this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the predictive model expects their pass/run mix to lean 4.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Buccaneers are expected by the predictive model to call only 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 10th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Buccaneers this year (a lowly 56.3 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense this year: 4th-fewest in the league.

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