Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Pass Attempts

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Chicago Bears · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 8:01 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 32.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 63.8 plays per game.

Favors Under

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 7th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 53.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Buccaneers to run the 8th-least total plays on the slate this week with 62.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Baker Mayfield to attempt 31.0 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-least of all QBs.
Opposing QBs have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the league.

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