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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

Detroit Lions vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -101 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A passing game script is indicated by the Buccaneers being a -6-point underdog in this game.
  • The model projects the Buccaneers as the 6th-most pass-focused offense among all teams this week with a 61.3% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are projected by our trusted projection set to run just 61.2 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • In registering a measly 0.14 interceptions per game this year, Baker Mayfield places among the best quarterbacks in football (90th percentile).
  • Detroit's defense grades out as the 9th-best in football this year as it relates to generating interceptions, compiling 0.93 per game.
  • The Lions safeties profile as the 2nd-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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