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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 9

Houston Texans vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to pass on 61.5% of their plays: the 8th-highest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run the 8th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The model projects Baker Mayfield to throw 36.9 passes this week, on average: the 7th-most out of all quarterbacks.

The Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive blueprint to skew 3.9% more towards rushing than it did last year (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.

The 9th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this year (just 56.7 per game on average).

The Houston cornerbacks profile as the 3rd-best collection of CBs in the league this year in defending receivers.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

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