My Account Log Out

reorder

Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 4

New Orleans Saints vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-139/+107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -139.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 62.5 plays per game.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

The Saints have intercepted 0.52 balls per game since the start of last season, grading out as the 3rd-worst defense in the NFL by this statistic

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers will have a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last year (context-neutralized).

Baker Mayfield has attempted just 15.4 throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile among quarterbacks.

The Saints defensive tackles project as the 6th-best DT corps in the league since the start of last season when it comes to rushing the passer.

More Baker Mayfield Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™