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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -130.
  • Carolina's defense grades out as the 3rd-worst in the league this year as it relates to causing interceptions, averaging a measly 0.47 per game.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering receivers, Carolina's collection of CBs has been easily exploitable this year, profiling as the 8th-worst in the NFL.

  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 30.2 pass attempts per game against the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

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