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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Interceptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-125/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB Baker Mayfield in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Rams rank as the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.5% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line has given their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Rams have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.
  • Baker Mayfield has attempted just 8.6 passes per game this year, ranking in the 6th percentile among quarterbacks.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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