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Baker Mayfield Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-164/+125).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -133 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -164.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to start backup QB Baker Mayfield in this week's game, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.The Rams are an enormous 7.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.The weatherman calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 10th-most in football.The Los Angeles Rams offensive line has allowed their quarterback 2.59 seconds before getting pressured (2nd-best in football since the start of last season), which has a strong impact on all passing offense stats across the board.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 59.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The Los Angeles Rams have run the 5th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.8 plays per game.THE BLITZ projects Baker Mayfield to attempt 33.8 passes in this week's game, on average: the least of all QBs.The Los Angeles Rams O-line ranks as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
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