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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Completions
Player Prop Week 1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Washington Commanders

Baker Mayfield Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+104/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.

At the moment, the 7th-quickest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Buccaneers.

In racking up a whopping 38.9 pass attempts per game last year, Baker Mayfield slots in among the top quarterbacks in football (87th percentile) in this statistic.

The Commanders defense has been a glaring pass funnel last year, compelling opposing offenses to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (35.4 per game) last year.

As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Washington's unit has been awful last year, grading out as the 7th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Buccaneers, who are favored by 3.5 points.

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