Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Carolina Panthers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 25, 2026 10:07 AM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-155/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to run on 42.7% of their downs: the 8th-highest frequency among all teams this week.
After taking on 10.3% of his offense's rushing play calls last season, Baker Mayfield has been more involved in the ground game this season, currently making up 15.4%.
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, Carolina's DT corps has been very bad this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

Favors Under

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Buccaneers are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.
The Buccaneers offense has played at the 9th-slowest tempo in football (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 29.00 seconds per snap.

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