Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 7:57 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+116/-154).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-largest volume of plays in football have been run by the Buccaneers since the start of last season (a whopping 58.3 per game on average).
Baker Mayfield has been a more important option in his team's rushing attack this season (18.2% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (10.3%).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast this game to see the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 120.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
When it comes to the defensive ends' role in run defense, Minnesota's group of DEs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, profiling as the best in football.

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