Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Messages Log Out

reorder

Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 13, 2026 4:32 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-250/+180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -260 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 44.8% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have run the 9th-most plays in football last year, totaling a massive 58.9 plays per game.

Favors Under

This week's line suggests a passing game script for the Buccaneers, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati defensive tackles rank as the 7th-best collection of DTs in the league last year in regard to run defense.

More Baker Mayfield Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow