Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 17

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints · Week 17, 2023

Updated Dec 31, 2023 5:01 PM EST

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-155).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 132.6 offensive plays run: the 2nd-highest number among all games this week.
The Saints defensive tackles grade out as the worst unit in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Buccaneers profiles as the 4th-worst in the league last year.

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