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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +106.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
  • With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.
  • In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is projected by the projections to notch the 8th-most carries among all quarterbacks with 3.9.
  • Baker Mayfield isn't afraid to take off running, taking on 13.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among QBs.
  • When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's LB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league last year in run-blocking.

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