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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Carolina Panthers

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+106/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +113 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.6% more towards the run game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Buccaneers are favored in this game, suggesting more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

In this week's contest, Baker Mayfield is projected by the projections to notch the 8th-most carries among all quarterbacks with 3.9.

Baker Mayfield isn't afraid to take off running, taking on 13.9% of his offense's rush attempts this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among QBs.

When it comes to the linebackers' role in stopping the run, Carolina's LB corps has been dreadful this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tampa Bay O-line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league last year in run-blocking.

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