Baker Mayfield Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Baker Mayfield

NFL · Player Props

Baker Mayfield

QB · Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Carries

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-174).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Tampa Bay Buccaneers offensive strategy to tilt 4.8% more towards running than it did last season (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Dave Canales now calling the plays.
The Tennessee Titans defensive ends grade out as the 5th-worst group of DEs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are expected by our trusted projection set to call only 62.5 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Buccaneers have called the 10th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.8 plays per game.
In regards to opening holes for runners (and the effect it has on all run game metrics), the O-line of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.

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