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Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Minnesota Vikings vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Baker Mayfield Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-160).

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Dave Canales, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 7.5% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context).
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 3rd-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have called the most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a monstrous 63.8 plays per game.

  • The Buccaneers are a 4.5-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the 10th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 39.5% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers O-line ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
  • The Minnesota Vikings defensive tackles project as the best DT corps in the NFL since the start of last season with their run defense.

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