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Bailey Zappe
NFL · Player Props
Bailey Zappe
QB · New England Patriots
TD Passes
New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 17, 2023 5:51 PM UTC
NFL Props Bailey Zappe TD Passes

Bailey Zappe TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-182/+138).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -182.

Favors Over
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • At only 26.68 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense rates as the 5th-quickest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Kansas City's group of safeties has been very bad this year, ranking as the 5th-worst in the league.
Favors Under
  • The Patriots have been the 6th-least pass-focused offense in football (in a neutral context) this year with a 58.3% pass rate.
  • Opposing teams teams have been reluctant to test the pass defense of the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 33.2 per game) this year.
  • The Patriots O-line ranks as the 9th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
  • Bailey Zappe's throwing accuracy has diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 70.0% to 57.6%.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-lowest rate in the league vs. the Chiefs defense this year (67.7% Adjusted Completion%).
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