Bailey Zappe TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 5

My Account Log Out

reorder

Bailey Zappe

NFL · Player Props

Bailey Zappe

QB · New England Patriots

TD Passes

New England Patriots vs Detroit Lions · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Bailey Zappe TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+163/-225).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New England Patriots will be forced to use backup quarterback Bailey Zappe in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
Opposing offenses have averaged 40.2 pass attempts per game versus the Detroit Lions defense this year: 7th-most in the NFL.
The New England Patriots offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong impact on all pass attack stats across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 9th-highest rate in the league versus the Detroit Lions defense this year (72.8%).
The Detroit Lions defense has allowed the 9th-most passing TDs in football: 1.75 per game this year.

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 52.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 10th-least pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) right now with a 56.3% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the New England Patriots as the 5th-most sluggish paced defense in football (context-neutralized) right now, leading opposing offenses to average 29.07 seconds per play.
The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

More Bailey Zappe Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow