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Bailey Zappe
NFL · Player Props
Bailey Zappe
QB · New England Patriots
Carries
New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023 Updated Dec 17, 2023 3:56 PM EST
NFL Props Bailey Zappe Carries

Bailey Zappe Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -170.

Favors Over
  • The Patriots rank as the 6th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.7% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast Bailey Zappe to be a more important option in his team's running game this week (12.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (4.4% in games he has played).
  • The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 26th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.
Favors Under
  • At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 4th-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 131.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In totaling a measly 1.2 carries per game this year, Bailey Zappe slots in among the bottom QBs in football (15th percentile) as it relates to rushing usage.
More Bailey Zappe Props Data by WriteNow™
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