My Account Log Out
 
 
Bailey Zappe

Bailey Zappe Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Bailey Zappe Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 8th-most run-centric offense in the league (41.2% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Patriots.
  • The leading projections forecast the New England Patriots offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.77 seconds per play.
  • The leading projections forecast Bailey Zappe to be a much bigger part of his offense's ground game in this week's contest (10.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (3.0% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line implies a throwing game script for the Patriots, who are -5.5-point underdogs.
  • Bailey Zappe has averaged just 0.8 rush attempts per game this year, one of the lowest rates in football among QBs (4th percentile).
  • The Steelers defensive tackles project as the 10th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™