Austin Hooper Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1233/-1329).
Key Factors
Favors Over
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 7th-most in football.
When talking about protecting the passer (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the O-line of the Atlanta Falcons profiles as the 8th-best in the league this year.
This year, the formidable 49ers run defense has allowed a feeble 0.50 rushing TDs per game to opposing teams: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's unit has been exceptional this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
Favors Under
Our trusted projections expect the Falcons to be the 3rd-least pass-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 57.5% pass rate.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Atlanta Falcons are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.4 total plays in this game: the 6th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Falcons have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has compiled quite a few less air yards this year (5.0 per game) than he did last year (15.0 per game).
Austin Hooper's 76.2% Adjusted Completion% this season conveys a substantial drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last season's 79.4% mark.