Austin Hooper Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1076/-1150).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is projected by the projections to have 135.3 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.
The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
The Falcons O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-highest clip in the league against the Bears defense since the start of last season (73.6% Adjusted Completion%).
Favors Under
At the moment, the 2nd-least pass-focused team in the league (56.4% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Atlanta Falcons.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.2 per game) this year.
Austin Hooper has posted significantly fewer air yards this season (5.0 per game) than he did last season (15.0 per game).
Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have diminished this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate falling off from 79.4% to 73.3%.
This year, the tough Bears defense has yielded a paltry 0.00 passing touchdowns per game to opposing tight ends: the best rate in the NFL.