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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Raiders offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
  • Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 75.6% to 92.5%.
  • The Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Right now, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
  • Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The fewest plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 52.9 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
  • Austin Hooper has run fewer routes this year (44.9% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (60.1%).

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