Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 6, 2023 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+145/-175).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -175.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Raiders offensive line grades out as the best in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 75.6% to 92.5%.
The Giants safeties project as the 9th-worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

Favors Under

Right now, the 6th-least pass-heavy team in football (58.2% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Las Vegas Raiders.
Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Raiders are projected by the projections to run only 60.4 total plays in this contest: the fewest on the slate this week.
The fewest plays in football have been run by the Las Vegas Raiders this year (only 52.9 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.2 pass attempts per game against the Giants defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.
Austin Hooper has run fewer routes this year (44.9% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last year (60.1%).

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