Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receptions

Buffalo Bills vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raiders are a big 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.2% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Austin Hooper's 29.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 81st percentile for TEs.
Austin Hooper has been among the most sure-handed receivers in football among tight ends, catching a stellar 75.9% of passes thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Raiders to call the 5th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.
The Buffalo Bills pass defense has allowed the 9th-lowest Completion% in the league (69.7%) to TEs since the start of last season (69.7%).
The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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