Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:26 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-190/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -190.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to accumulate 4.7 targets this week, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper's 29.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 84th percentile for tight ends.
Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have gotten better this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.0% to 80.0%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 11th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (59.3%) to TEs this year (59.3%).

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