Austin Hooper Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receptions

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Austin Hooper to total 4.7 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 83rd percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper's 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for tight ends.
Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 68.0% to 77.6%.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers rank as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 52.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.

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