Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

reorder

NBA Season Tips Off Soon — Don’t Miss the Action! 🏀 1d 22:25:10 🏀 SUBSCRIBE NOW

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Atlanta Falcons

Receiving Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 5, 2026 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+239/-291).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 59.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -291.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 136.0 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop-off.
Austin Hooper has been a much smaller piece of his team's offense this year, playing on just 30.0% of snaps vs 49.4% last year.
The Falcons offensive line grades out as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all pass attack stats across the board.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has allowed the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (84.9%) versus TEs this year (84.9%).

Favors Under

The predictive model expects the Atlanta Falcons as the least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game against the New Orleans Saints defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.
Austin Hooper's 70.2% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a noteable decline in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 79.4% figure.
Austin Hooper's pass-catching effectiveness has declined this season, compiling a mere 5.55 adjusted yards-per-target vs a 10.53 figure last season.
The New Orleans Saints pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.28 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 8th-fewest in football.