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Austin Hooper

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is suggested by the Patriots being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in football.

After averaging 7.0 air yards per game last season, Austin Hooper has undergone big improvement this season, currently pacing 17.0 per game.

Austin Hooper's 22.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this season than it was last season at 9.9.

With an outstanding 6.39 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (88th percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Hooper ranks as one of the top TE receiving threats in football in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Patriots as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 51.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

With respect to a defense's influence on tempo, at 28.79 seconds per play, the predictive model expects the Patriots as the 10th-slowest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.

The New England O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Austin Hooper's 48.5% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys a substantial decline in his receiving proficiency over last season's 81.0% mark.

Austin Hooper's 5.4 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a remarkable reduction in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 7.9 rate.

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