Austin Hooper Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Las Vegas Raiders

Receiving Yards

Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (meaning zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may decline.
In regards to pass protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing game statistics), the O-line of the Las Vegas Raiders profiles as the best in football this year.
Austin Hooper's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% increasing from 75.6% to 92.7%.
Austin Hooper's pass-catching efficiency has been refined this year, totaling 9.11 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a measly 7.95 mark last year.
Austin Hooper's talent in picking up extra yardage have gotten better this year, averaging 6.54 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.54 rate last year.

Favors Under

The model projects the Raiders as the 7th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Las Vegas Raiders are anticipated by the projection model to call just 62.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-lowest number among all teams this week.
The Las Vegas Raiders have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game vs. the New York Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.
Austin Hooper has gone out for fewer passes this season (44.5% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (60.1%).

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