Austin Hooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Tennessee Titans vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 4:55 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+338/-645).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +348 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +338.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Tennessee Titans have called the 7th-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 64.8 plays per game.
Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team's offense near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 20.6% since the start of last season, which places him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper has accumulated a monstrous 22.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 75th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper's 25.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 78th percentile for TEs.
The Las Vegas Raiders defense has yielded the 3rd-most passing touchdowns in football to tight ends: 0.58 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-most sluggish pace among all games this week, averaging 27.47 seconds per play based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
Austin Hooper's sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 68.0% to 43.9%.
The Tennessee Titans O-line has allowed their quarterback a measly 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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