Austin Hooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:41 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+415/-910).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -879 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -910.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing offenses have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
Austin Hooper has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 14.6% this year, which ranks him in the 83rd percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has totaled a whopping 27.0 air yards per game this year: 80th percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper's 30.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for tight ends.
Austin Hooper's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% rising from 68.0% to 77.6%.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line has afforded their quarterback a mere 2.39 seconds before getting pressured (4th-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all air attack stats across the board.

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