Austin Hooper Receiving TD - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Austin Hooper

NFL · Player Props

Austin Hooper

TE · Tennessee Titans

Receiving TD

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 9:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Austin Hooper Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+373/-758).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +375 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +373.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.
Austin Hooper has been an integral part of his team's passing offense near the goal line, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 13.6% this year, which places him in the 81st percentile among tight ends.
Austin Hooper has accounted for a monstrous 12.8% of his team's air yards this year: 88th percentile among TEs.
Austin Hooper's 24.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the best in the league: 78th percentile for tight ends.
Austin Hooper's possession skills have gotten a boost this year, with his Completion% rising from 68.0% to 77.2%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.
Austin Hooper grades out in the 1st percentile among TEs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging just 0.00 per game.
The Denver Broncos safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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