Austin Ekeler Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Washington Commanders

Touchdowns

Washington Commanders vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 7, 2026 9:22 PM EST

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-395).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A throwing game script is indicated by the Commanders being a -4.5-point underdog in this game.
The predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to be the 9th-most pass-centric team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 62.3% pass rate.
The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Commanders this year (a colossal 59.0 per game on average).
With an impressive 7.1% Red Zone Target% (76th percentile) this year, Austin Ekeler ranks as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the end zone in the league.
Austin Ekeler has run for 0.00 touchdowns per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in football among running backs (1st percentile).

Favors Under

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the projection model to have only 127.5 offensive plays called: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
Austin Ekeler has put up a meager -3.0 air yards per game this year: just 23rd percentile when it comes to RBs.
The receiving touchdown column reads "0" on Austin Ekeler's stats page this year.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 7th-lowest level in football vs. the Los Angeles Rams defense this year (68.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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