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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Washington Commanders vs Carolina Panthers

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Commanders being a 3-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Commanders to be the 2nd-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 49.2% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the Washington Commanders to run the 6th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.4 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

Austin Ekeler's rushing effectiveness has improved this year, compiling 6.50 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 3.45 mark last year.

This year, the poor Carolina Panthers run defense has given up a monstrous 171.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Austin Ekeler has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this season (19.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (54.4%).

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