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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Washington Commanders vs Cleveland Browns

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Washington Commanders to run on 48.2% of their downs: the 4th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The Browns defense has had the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, yielding 4.91 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs in this week's game, suggesting more of an emphasis on throwing than their usual game plan.

Right now, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Commanders.

Austin Ekeler has been a less important option in his offense's run game this year (13.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (54.4%).

With an awful total of 3.66 adjusted yards per carry (18th percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Ekeler rates as one of the worst RBs in the NFL at the position.

With a terrible rate of 2.64 yards after contact (24th percentile) since the start of last season, Austin Ekeler has been as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL.

More Austin Ekeler Player Props

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