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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Las Vegas Raiders vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-107/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 49.5 @ -107.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 2nd-quickest paced team in football (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.
  • With an impressive total of 50.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (78th percentile), Austin Ekeler places among the top pure runners in the league this year.
  • This year, the anemic Raiders run defense has been torched for a whopping 129.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground to opposing squads: the 8th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chargers will be forced to start backup QB Easton Stick in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -3-point disadvantage, the Chargers are underdogs this week, suggesting more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Chargers to be the 8th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 39.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • The predictive model expects Austin Ekeler to be a much smaller piece of his offense's ground game this week (44.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (55.2% in games he has played).

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