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Austin Ekeler

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-142/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 50.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 51.5 @ -142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Austin Ekeler has garnered 54.9% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among RBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns defensive tackles grade out as the worst DT corps in football this year in regard to defending the run.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers have risked going for it on 4th down 27.6% of the time since the start of last season (2nd-most in the NFL), which usually means more offensive volume, more TD potential, and higher offensive stats across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the 9th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Chargers to run the 11th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year at run-game blocking.
  • Austin Ekeler has rushed for significantly fewer yards per game (36.0) this year than he did last year (61.0).
  • Austin Ekeler's running efficiency has worsened this year, notching a measly 3.22 yards-per-carry vs a 4.74 rate last year.

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