Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Austin Ekeler

NFL · Player Props

Austin Ekeler

RB · Los Angeles Chargers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 11, 2022

Updated Nov 21, 2022 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Austin Ekeler Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 136.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 62.6 plays per game.
Austin Ekeler has been given 57.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends project as the 5th-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to run defense.
The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the NFL. Choosing not to keep an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

Favors Under

The Chargers are a giant 8.5-point underdog this week, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Chargers as the least run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 32.8% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Los Angeles Chargers offensive line grades out as the 2nd-worst in football this year at opening holes for runners.
Austin Ekeler has run for quite a few less yards per game (50.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
Opposing teams have rushed for the 5th-least yards in the NFL (just 99 per game) against the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year.

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